Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Francesco Passaro		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.95
	1.83	1.88
	1.86	2.09
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.84	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.81	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)	1.94 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
51.6%

Maks Kasnikowski
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francesco Passaro - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 185. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 284.

Passaro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kasnikowski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Francesco Passaro	Fellin P. O. Retired ✺
01.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Daniel Michalski - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LW?
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jerome Kym	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW

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