Match Info

Date: 19 November 2020, Thursday


	Dominic Thiem		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.5
	1.55	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.67	2.35
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)	2.43 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
60.7%

Andrey Rublev
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominic Thiem's performance.

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dominic Thiem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Rublev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.9%	0%	20.1%

Dominic Thiem - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: Dominic Thiem will win (131 of 164 users predict this - 79.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.74% – 86.02%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Rublev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Thiem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
15.11.20	Dominic Thiem - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
30.10.20	Andrey Rublev - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
29.10.20	Christian Garin - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
27.10.20	Vitaliy Sachko - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
05.11.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Radu Albot - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
01.11.20	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
30.10.20	Andrey Rublev - Dominic Thiem	2:0
Exhibition Thiems Seven Men
11.07.20	Dominic Thiem - Andrey Rublev	1:2
08.07.20	Dominic Thiem - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Hamburg
26.07.19	Dominic Thiem - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
17.04.18	Andrey Rublev - Dominic Thiem	1:2
ATP Vienna
24.10.17	Andrey Rublev - Dominic Thiem	0:2

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