Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.24	Watch
	4.13	1.3
	3.93	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	3.97	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.12)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
23.8%

Andrey Rublev
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Rublev's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 66. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2.

Rublev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rublev is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Carlos Taberner	3:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 W?LWL
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1
ATP Metz
05.11.24	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	3:2
ATP Roma
15.05.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP Vienna
01.11.20	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Challenger
04.08.16	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0

Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide