Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LYON (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 June 2023, Tuesday


	Dragos Nicolae Madaras		Michael Geerts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.43	2.92
	1.36	2.96	Watch
	1.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.6)	2.9 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dragos Nicolae Madaras
67.6%

Michael Geerts
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dragos Nicolae Madaras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dragos Nicolae Madaras's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragos Nicolae Madaras than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dragos Nicolae Madaras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Madaras will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Geerts will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

Madaras is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Geerts is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Geerts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Madaras is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragos Nicolae Madaras
ITF Tournaments
11.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Peter Fajta	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Tadeas Paroulek	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Facundo Bagnis - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Michael Geerts - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	Pavel Kotov - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Michael Geerts - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
15.05.23	Michael Geerts - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLL

Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide