Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: ANTALYA (TURKEY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Dragos Nicolae Madaras		Mirza Basic

	1	2
	1.44	2.55
	1.41	2.84
	1.4	2.78	Watch
	1.38	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (2.23)	2.74 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dragos Nicolae Madaras
66.1%

Mirza Basic
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dragos Nicolae Madaras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dragos Nicolae Madaras's performance.

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirza Basic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragos Nicolae Madaras than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dragos Nicolae Madaras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirza Basic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Madaras is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Basic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Madaras is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragos Nicolae Madaras
ITF Tournaments
02.03.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Rrezart Cungu	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Gokberk Saritas	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Edoardo Lavagno	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Dragos Nicolae Madaras	0:2 ✺
03.02.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
12.02.23	Dinko Dinev - Mirza Basic	Basic M. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.23	Elias Ymer - Mirza Basic	Canceled ✺
03.02.23	Mikael Ymer - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.23	Daniel Cox - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
13.01.23	Mirza Basic - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ??LLL

Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Mirza Basic

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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