Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bucharest 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Dragos Nicolae Madaras		Radu David Turcanu

	1	2
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.20
	1.59	2.17
	1.53	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dragos Nicolae Madaras
58.2%

Radu David Turcanu
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dragos Nicolae Madaras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Radu David Turcanu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragos Nicolae Madaras than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dragos Nicolae Madaras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radu David Turcanu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radu David Turcanu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Madaras is ranked ATP: 568. Turcanu is ranked ATP: 755.

Madaras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Turcanu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Turcanu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Madaras might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragos Nicolae Madaras
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Tudor Batin	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Uladzimir Ignatik	Ignatik U. Retired
22.08.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Dragos Nicolae Madaras	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Giannicola Misasi	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Vlad Cristian Breazu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 W?LWW
- Radu David Turcanu
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Giacomo Crisostomo - Radu David Turcanu	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Alessandro Battiston - Radu David Turcanu	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou - Radu David Turcanu	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Odysseas Geladaris - Radu David Turcanu	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Radu David Turcanu - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL

Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Radu David Turcanu

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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