Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tallahassee (USA), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Kaye J. (Gbr)


	Duarte Vale		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.34	1.61
	2.34	1.61
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.86)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duarte Vale
41.3%

Corentin Denolly
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duarte Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duarte Vale's form might have worsened.

Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Denolly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duarte Vale than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duarte Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Duarte Vale - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vale will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Denolly will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Denolly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Denolly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duarte Vale
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Giovanni Fonio - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
31.03.24	Duarte Vale - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Hendrik Jebens - Duarte Vale	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Vit Kopriva - Duarte Vale	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLW?L
- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Ian Mayew	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Justin Lyons	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Felix Corwin	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Peter Bertran	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Corentin Denolly - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

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