Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova (Portugal), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday


	Duarte Vale		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	3.7	1.22
	3.75	1.21
	4.09	1.22
	3.84	1.22	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.86	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (2.58)	1.22 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duarte Vale
24%

Edas Butvilas
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duarte Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duarte Vale's form might have worsened.

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edas Butvilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duarte Vale than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duarte Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duarte Vale - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vale is ranked ATP: 501. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 405.

Recent matches Vale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Butvilas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Butvilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Butvilas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Butvilas to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duarte Vale
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Duarte Vale - Rodrigo Fernandes	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Duarte Vale - Elgin Khoeblal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Duarte Vale	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.24	Colton Smith - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Kody Pearson - Duarte Vale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- Edas Butvilas
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Benjamin Pietri - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Ricardo Batista - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Lukas Klein - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Edas Butvilas - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Duarte Vale - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide