Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tianjin 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Duck Hee Lee		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.92	1.79
	2.06	1.78
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.03	1.76
	1.88	1.80	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duck Hee Lee
47.9%

Kousuke Ogura
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duck Hee Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kousuke Ogura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duck Hee Lee than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duck Hee Lee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kousuke Ogura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Duck Hee Lee - Kousuke Ogura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lee is ranked ATP: 966. Ogura is ranked ATP: 861.

Lee is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ogura is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Duck Hee Lee - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duck Hee Lee
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Duck Hee Lee - Isaac Becroft	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Tsung-Hao Huang - Duck Hee Lee	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Duck Hee Lee - Seon Yong Han	Lee D. H. Retired ✺
16.07.26	Yuquan Jin - Duck Hee Lee	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Yue Xia - Duck Hee Lee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WW?LW
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Mikalai Haliak - Kousuke Ogura	Haliak M. Retired ✺
11.08.26	Kousuke Ogura - Yuta Kikuchi	Kikuchi Y. Retired ✺
22.07.26	Taiki Takizawa - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Jeremy Beale - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Kousuke Ogura - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 ??LLL

Duck Hee Lee - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide