Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Duje Ajdukovic		Jay Clarke

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.25	1.61
	2.37	1.63
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.20	1.59
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.02)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
41.3%

Jay Clarke
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duje Ajdukovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Clarke, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Duje Ajdukovic - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ajdukovic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Clarke will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 324. Clarke is ranked ATP: 242.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Khumoun Sultanov	Sultanov K. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLL?
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Jay Clarke - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Francesco Forti - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Jay Clarke - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jay Clarke - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
20.07.26	Jerome Kym - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

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