Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.12	1.76
	1.97	1.74
	2.05	1.72
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.7)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
46.1%

Duje Ajdukovic
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi's form might have worsened.

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duje Ajdukovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duje Ajdukovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ambrogi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ajdukovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 313. Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 302.

Ambrogi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ajdukovic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ajdukovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Duje Ajdukovic - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.73%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Oliver Crawford	Canceled ✺
09.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?LW
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Khumoun Sultanov	Sultanov K. Retired ✺
20.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
11.07.26	Marco Cecchinato - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 L?LLL

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