Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Edas Butvilas		Vitaliy Sachko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.34
	2.98	1.38
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.35)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
32.3%

Vitaliy Sachko
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edas Butvilas's form might have worsened.

Vitaliy Sachko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitaliy Sachko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitaliy Sachko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Edas Butvilas - Vitaliy Sachko Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Sachko will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sachko: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Butvilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sachko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.03.23	Steven Diez - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
02.03.23	Edas Butvilas - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Axel Garcian - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.23	Antoine Escoffier - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL
- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Timofey Stepanov - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Marius Copil - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrea Arnaboldi	Canceled ✺
13.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Jaroslav Pospisil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?WW

Edas Butvilas - Vitaliy Sachko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide