Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 10 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Edoardo Lavagno		Lukas Rosol

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.42	2.65
	1.39	2.84
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.73	Watch
	1.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.66)	2.71 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edoardo Lavagno
65.9%

Lukas Rosol
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edoardo Lavagno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edoardo Lavagno's performance.

Lukas Rosol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Rosol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edoardo Lavagno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Rosol than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Rosol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Lavagno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rosol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lavagno will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edoardo Lavagno
ITF Tournaments
11.10.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Mate Valkusz - Edoardo Lavagno	Valkusz M. retired ✺
26.09.23	Matteo Gigante - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWL?L
- Lukas Rosol
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Lukas Rosol - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
04.09.23	Lukas Rosol - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Lukas Rosol - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.23	Lukas Rosol - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Lukas Rosol - Patrik Homola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Edoardo Lavagno - Lukas Rosol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide