Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NAPLES 3 (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Edoardo Lavagno		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.73	1.43
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.17)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edoardo Lavagno
35.7%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edoardo Lavagno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edoardo Lavagno's performance.

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuel Vincent Ruggeri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edoardo Lavagno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuel Vincent Ruggeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Lavagno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vincent Ruggeri is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lavagno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vincent Ruggeri will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vincent Ruggeri to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edoardo Lavagno
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Pietro Manola	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
04.03.24	Thiago Monteiro - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Mircea Alexandru Jecan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Edoardo Lavagno - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide