Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday


	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.66	2.17
	1.67	2.17
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.72	2.04	Watch
	1.63	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	2.13 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
56.3%

Vilius Gaubas
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

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Preview

Vincent Ruggeri is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaubas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vincent Ruggeri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vincent Ruggeri will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Mircea Alexandru Jecan	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
12.03.24	Lukas Neumayer - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Adam Gabor Szoke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.03.24	Vilius Gaubas - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Jaime Faria - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Vilius Gaubas - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Altug Celikbilek - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW

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