Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 4 (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday


	Eduardo Ribeiro		Sebastian Fanselow

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.82	1.96
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.03)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eduardo Ribeiro
51.2%

Sebastian Fanselow
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eduardo Ribeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eduardo Ribeiro's performance.

Sebastian Fanselow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Fanselow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eduardo Ribeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Fanselow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Eduardo Ribeiro - Sebastian Fanselow Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ribeiro will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Fanselow will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ribeiro: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Fanselow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Nick Hardt - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
01.05.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
20.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLWW
- Sebastian Fanselow
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Moez Echargui - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Tommaso Compagnucci - Sebastian Fanselow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW

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