Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Egor Agafonov		Karlis Ozolins

	1	2
	2.78	1.45
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.22)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Agafonov
35.5%

Karlis Ozolins
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Agafonov's form might have worsened.

Karlis Ozolins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlis Ozolins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Agafonov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlis Ozolins than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlis Ozolins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Egor Agafonov - Karlis Ozolins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Agafonov is ranked ATP: 618. Ozolins is ranked ATP: 729.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ozolins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ozolins is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Agafonov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Egor Agafonov - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Agafonov
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Egor Agafonov - Maxim Zhukov	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Egor Agafonov - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Egor Agafonov - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Grigoriy Lomakin - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- Karlis Ozolins
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Karlis Ozolins - Gavin Young	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Karlis Ozolins - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Karlis Ozolins - Justin Roberts	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Karlis Ozolins - Laurence Teunissen	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Karlis Ozolins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Boys Singles Australian Open
29.01.20	Karlis Ozolins - Egor Agafonov	2:1

Egor Agafonov - Karlis Ozolins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide