Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Egor Gerasimov		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	3.3	1.3
	3.2	1.31	Watch
	3.44	1.32
	3.44	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.28)	1.31 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Gerasimov
28.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Gerasimov's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Gerasimov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Egor Gerasimov - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gerasimov is ranked ATP: 267. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 153.

Both players are in bad shape now.

In this match Moro Canas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.76%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Maximilian Marterer - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Denis Yevseyev - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.24	Egor Gerasimov - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Egor Gerasimov - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Egor Gerasimov - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

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