Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday


	Egor Gerasimov		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.82	2.01
	1.78	2.13
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.74	2.09	Watch
	1.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	2.05 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Gerasimov
53.5%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	0%	67.9%

Egor Gerasimov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zapata Miralles: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zapata Miralles could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Astana
27.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Egor Gerasimov	Gerasimov E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLL?
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Adrian Andreev - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLLW

Egor Gerasimov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide