Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi (China), hard - Final

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Blom J. (Aus)


	Egor Gerasimov		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	2.96	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.29)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Gerasimov
34.3%

Bu Yunchaokete
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Gerasimov's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Gerasimov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Egor Gerasimov - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gerasimov in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Yunchaokete is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yunchaokete will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Yunchaokete to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
11.05.24	Egor Gerasimov - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Egor Gerasimov - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Max Purcell - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Hiroki Moriya - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Egor Gerasimov - Ye Cong Mo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWW?
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
11.05.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Linang Xiao - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Omar Jasika - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Adam Walton - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

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