Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 14 September 2025, Sunday
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Egor Gerasimov |
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Etienne Donnet |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Egor Gerasimov 44.3% | Etienne Donnet 55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Etienne Donnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etienne Donnet than the current prediction. (+3.9%) 
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Preview
Gerasimov is ranked ATP: 548. Donnet is ranked ATP: 474.Both players have been playing unpredictably.Gerasimov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;