Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Tropez 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Egor Gerasimov		Etienne Donnet

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Egor Gerasimov
44.3%

Etienne Donnet
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Etienne Donnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etienne Donnet than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Gerasimov is ranked ATP: 548. Donnet is ranked ATP: 474.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gerasimov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Egor Gerasimov - Cannon Kingsley	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Egor Gerasimov - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Pierre Antoine Tailleu - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Etienne Donnet
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Leonardo Cattaneo	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

Egor Gerasimov - Etienne Donnet