Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Danielle Collins

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.6
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.42	1.63
	2.42	1.64
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.47	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.9)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
40.1%

Danielle Collins
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Alexandrova's form might have worsened.

Danielle Collins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Danielle Collins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danielle Collins than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Danielle Collins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Danielle Collins Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). Collins will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collins: 63.3% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alexandrova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Collins in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Collins could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Collins will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Collins to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Miami
27.03.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Donna Vekic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Yulia Putintseva - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWWWL
- Danielle Collins
WTA Miami
27.03.24	Caroline Garcia - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
25.03.24	Sorana Cirstea - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Danielle Collins - Elina Avanesyan	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Anastasia Potapova - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Bernarda Pera - Danielle Collins	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

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