Match Info
WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 8 October 2025, Wednesday
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Ekaterina Alexandrova |
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Jessica Pegula |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ekaterina Alexandrova
52.4% | Jessica Pegula
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ekaterina Alexandrova will win
(27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Pegula is ranked WTA: 6.Recent performances by Alexandrova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WTA Stuttgart | | | 19.04.25 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula | 2:0 | | WTA Charleston | | | 05.04.25 | Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2:1 | | WTA Doha | | | 13.02.25 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula | 2:1 | | WTA Miami | | | 27.03.24 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula | 2:1 | | WTA Roma | | | 13.05.21 | Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula | 0:2 |
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