Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg (Germany), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Donna Vekic

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.7	2.27
	1.67	2.2
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.49)	2.19 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
56.5%

Donna Vekic
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Alexandrova's form might have worsened.

Donna Vekic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Donna Vekic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Donna Vekic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Donna Vekic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Vekic will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Nadia Podoroska	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
20.06.24	Cori Gauff - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
18.06.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
16.06.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Robin Montgomery - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Donna Vekic
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.24	Donna Vekic - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
20.06.24	Jessica Pegula - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
18.06.24	Donna Vekic - Jule Niemeier	2:1 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.24	Donna Vekic - Greetje Minnen	1:2 ✺
10.06.24	Donna Vekic - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
22.03.24	Donna Vekic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Linz
03.02.24	Donna Vekic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Donna Vekic	0:2
WTA St Petersburg
13.02.20	Donna Vekic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Budapest
20.02.17	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Donna Vekic	0:2

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