Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.51	2.52	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)	2.31 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
59%

Ludmilla Samsonova
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludmilla Samsonova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Samsonova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 19.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Samsonova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Charleston
05.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Magda Linette	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWL
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
13.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Caty McNally - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hertogenbosch
16.06.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2
WTA Tokyo
26.09.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Berlin
20.06.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0

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