Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Maya Joint

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.45
	1.66	2.20	Watch
	1.67	2.2
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)	2.3 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
58.6%

Maya Joint
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.

Maya Joint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maya Joint might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maya Joint than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maya Joint could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Maya Joint Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Joint will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 16. Joint is ranked WTA: 44.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alexandrova might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lin Zhu	1:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
18.07.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Bondar	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Caroline Werner	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Maya Joint
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Maya Joint - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Maya Joint - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Maya Joint - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Maya Joint - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
21.07.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Maya Joint	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

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