Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Maya Joint

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	2.12	1.78
	2.06	1.75	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.03	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
46.8%

Maya Joint
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Maya Joint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leylah Annie Fernandez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maya Joint than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maya Joint could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Maya Joint Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fernandez will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Joint will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Joint: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maya Joint will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 35. Joint is ranked WTA: 37.

Recent performances by Fernandez have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Joint is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Laura Siegemund	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Hannah Klugman	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
24.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
20.06.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Maya Joint
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Maya Joint - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
28.06.25	Maya Joint - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Maya Joint - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Anna Blinkova - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Maya Joint - Emma Raducanu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW

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