Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	17:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	18:00	HBO Max
Croatia	17:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	17:00	HBO Max
Denmark	17:00	HBO Max
Finland	18:00	HBO Max
France	17:00	HBO Max
Hungary	17:00	HBO Max
Moldova	18:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	17:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	17:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	17:00	HBO Max
Norway	17:00	HBO Max
Poland	17:00	HBO Max
Romania	18:00	HBO Max
Serbia	17:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	17:00	HBO Max
Spain	17:00	HBO Max
Sweden	17:00	HBO Max


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Xin Yu Wang

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.43	3.01
	1.42	2.86	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.99	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	2.9 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
67.1%

Xin Yu Wang
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Xin Yu Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xin Yu Wang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Xin Yu Wang Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 12. Wang is ranked WTA: 34.

Recent performances by Alexandrova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wang is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alexandrova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alexandrova is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
23.08.25	Diana Shnaider - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Marie Bouzkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	Bouzkova M. retired ✺
21.08.25	Linda Noskova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WL?WW
- Xin Yu Wang
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Caroline Dolehide - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
22.08.25	Ann Li - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Viktorija Golubic - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Talia Gibson - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Suzan Lamens - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
11.10.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Xin Yu Wang	1:2
WTA Cleveland
24.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Xin Yu Wang	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.23	Xin Yu Wang - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Xin Yu Wang