Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ekaterine Gorgodze		Laura Pigossi

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2)	2.26 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterine Gorgodze
58.9%

Laura Pigossi
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterine Gorgodze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterine Gorgodze's performance.

Laura Pigossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laura Pigossi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterine Gorgodze than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterine Gorgodze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Pigossi than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laura Pigossi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ekaterine Gorgodze - Laura Pigossi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gorgodze is ranked WTA: 152., and Pigossi is ranked WTA: 218..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Pigossi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gorgodze has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterine Gorgodze
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Noemi Basiletti - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lucie Havlickova - Ekaterine Gorgodze	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ekaterine Gorgodze	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
27.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Despina Papamichail - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- Laura Pigossi
WTA Sao Paulo
16.09.26	Vendula Valdmannova - Laura Pigossi	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Laura Pigossi - Despina Papamichail	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.26	Berfu Cengiz - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Laura Pigossi - Dominika Salkova	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Laura Pigossi - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Laura Pigossi - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0
WTA Bogota
06.04.22	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Laura Pigossi	0:2
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
12.08.20	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Laura Pigossi	0:2

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