Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Ekaterine Gorgodze

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.58	2.24
	1.60	2.40
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.60	2.30
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.60	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.35)	2.28 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
58.9%

Ekaterine Gorgodze
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Ekaterine Gorgodze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterine Gorgodze's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterine Gorgodze than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekaterine Gorgodze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Lourdes Carle - Ekaterine Gorgodze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 213. Gorgodze is ranked WTA: 152.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carle might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Lourdes Carle - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 68.74%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Ekaterine Gorgodze - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.26%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Gina Feistel	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Valeriya Strakhova - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW
- Ekaterine Gorgodze
WTA US Open
27.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Despina Papamichail - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Katarzyna Kawa	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Caroline Dolehide - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW

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