Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 4, hard - Final

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.34
	1.64	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	2.16 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
57.1%

Thomas Faurel
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eliakim Coulibaly's performance.

Thomas Faurel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thomas Faurel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliakim Coulibaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thomas Faurel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eliakim Coulibaly - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faurel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 313. Faurel is ranked ATP: 456.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Coulibaly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Thomas Faurel - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ITF Tournaments
14.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Petros Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Nicolas Robert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Thomas Faurel
ITF Tournaments
14.02.26	Mickael Kaouk - Thomas Faurel	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Federico Iannaccone - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Justin Lenders - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Miguel Damas - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

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