Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roanne (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Elias Ymer		Jakub Paul

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Elias Ymer
70.1%

Jakub Paul
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ymer is ranked ATP: 252. Paul is ranked ATP: 421.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ymer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Maxime Janvier - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Elias Ymer - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Elias Ymer - Ramkumar Ramanathan	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Elias Ymer - N.Sriram Balaji	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWL?W
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Jakub Paul - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Jakub Paul - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Jakub Paul - Julio Cesar Porras	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Jakub Paul - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.09.24	Christoph Negritu - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL

Elias Ymer - Jakub Paul