Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4 (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Duarte Pereira J. (Por)


	Elias Ymer		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.81
	2.07	1.81
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.69	Watch
	2.11	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
45.9%

Jan Choinski
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan Choinski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Lloyd Harris - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
13.05.24	Elias Ymer - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Elias Ymer - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Elias Ymer - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Tristan Boyer - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
13.05.24	Jan Choinski - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Lucas Pouille - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Jan Choinski - Benjamin Hassan	Hassan B. retired ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.24	Jan Choinski - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWL?L

Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide