Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALZBURG (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday


	Elias Ymer		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.65	1.46
	2.76	1.47
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.45)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
35.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Elias Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Varillas Patino-Samudio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Damir Dzumhur - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Fabian Marozsan - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Elias Ymer - Antoine Escoffier	1:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. retired ✺
06.06.23	Dennis Novak - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLW?W
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Federico Delbonis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	3:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.23	Novak Djokovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	3:0 ✺
02.06.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hubert Hurkacz	3:2 ✺
31.05.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.04.21	Elias Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Elias Ymer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide