Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORLEANS (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: ORLEANS (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Elias Ymer		Mathias Bourgue

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Elias Ymer
54.7%

Mathias Bourgue
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bourgue will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Ymer is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bourgue is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bourgue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Elias Ymer - Samuel Brosset	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Elias Ymer - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Peter Gojowczyk - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Gijs Brouwer - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Mathias Bourgue - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Mathias Bourgue - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Mathias Bourgue - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Elias Ymer - Mathias Bourgue