Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ST. TROPEZ (FRANCE), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.7	2.19
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.71	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)	2.08 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
55.1%

Elias Ymer
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksii Krutykh's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksii Krutykh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Oleksii Krutykh - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Krutykh will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krutykh: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krutykh is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krutykh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Mikail Alimli	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Kevin Anderson - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL
- Elias Ymer
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Elias Ymer - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Oleksii Krutykh - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide