Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Elina Svitolina		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.54
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.54	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)	2.57 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
63%

Diana Shnaider
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elina Svitolina's performance.

Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diana Shnaider might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Elina Svitolina - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Shnaider (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -2.5 Games - Svitolina (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elina Svitolina will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elina Svitolina will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Shnaider (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 12. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 22.

Svitolina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shnaider is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shnaider may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Svitolina could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Svitolina will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Diana Shnaider - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.95%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Linda Klimovicova	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
10.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Iva Jovic	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Sonay Kartal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Talia Gibson - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Barbora Krejcikova - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
15.01.26	Mirra Andreeva - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

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