Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2, Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Peru	ESPN 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD


	Elina Svitolina		Iga Swiatek

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.90	1.42
	2.85	1.42	Watch
	2.98	1.46
	3.09	1.46	Watch
	2.90	1.44
	2.89	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.62)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
33.2%

Iga Swiatek
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Swiatek will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 9. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 2.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Svitolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Swiatek is a strong favorite.

We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Toronto
10.08.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Elina Svitolina - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Elina Svitolina - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
WTA Washington
31.07.26	Alexandra Eala - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- Iga Swiatek
WTA Toronto
10.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Viktorija Golubic - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.26	Alexandra Eala - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
14.05.26	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Wimbledon
11.07.23	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Roma
15.05.21	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	2:0

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