Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Marta Kostyuk		Iga Swiatek

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.7
	2.23	1.65
	2.22	1.67
	2.24	1.68	Watch
	2.28	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
42.3%

Iga Swiatek
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Marta Kostyuk - Iga Swiatek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 11. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1.

Recent performances by Kostyuk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Swiatek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Swiatek could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Toronto
06.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
09.07.26	Marta Kostyuk - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Marta Kostyuk - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Iga Swiatek
WTA Toronto
06.08.26	Viktorija Golubic - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.26	Alexandra Eala - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Karolina Pliskova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Taylor Townsend - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
31.05.26	Marta Kostyuk - Iga Swiatek	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk	Swiatek I. walkover
16.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Indian Wells
15.03.24	Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
07.06.21	Marta Kostyuk - Iga Swiatek	0:2

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