Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Eliot Spizzirri		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.4
	1.24	3.60	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	2.65 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliot Spizzirri
63.9%

Alex Bolt
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eliot Spizzirri's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliot Spizzirri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 128. Bolt is ranked ATP: 221.

Spizzirri is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bolt is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Spizzirri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spizzirri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spizzirri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Lloyd Harris	Harris L. retired ✺
26.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Valentin Royer - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W?WWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Billy Harris - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Alex Bolt - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Alex Bolt - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt	1:2

Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide