Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Omar Jasika		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.15	1.3	Watch
	3.69	1.31
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.27	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.49)	1.29 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
27.3%

Alex Bolt
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Bolt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Bolt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 398. Bolt is ranked ATP: 178.

Recent form of Jasika has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolt has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jasika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bolt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jasika won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.93%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Omar Jasika - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Tai Sach - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - Omar Jasika	Marmousez L. retired ✺
21.01.26	Omar Jasika - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLL?L
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Kokoro Isomura - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Alex Bolt - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Alex Bolt - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Alex Bolt - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	1:2
03.02.24	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	2:1
11.09.23	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	1:2
04.01.17	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	2:0

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