Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:40	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:40	SportKlub
Brazil	10:40	ESPN 2
Croatia	15:40	SportKlub
Czech Republic	15:40	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	15:40	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	15:40	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	16:40	Nova Sports
Poland	15:40	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	16:40	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	15:40	SportKlub
Slovenia	15:40	SportKlub
Ukraine	16:40	Setanta Sports


	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto		Caroline Garcia

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.98	1.82	Watch
	2.27	1.68
	2.04	1.85
	2	1.8
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.01	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.46)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto
46.7%

Caroline Garcia
53.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elisabaetta Cocciaretto's performance.

Caroline Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caroline Garcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elisabaetta Cocciaretto than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elisabaetta Cocciaretto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Garcia than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caroline Garcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Caroline Garcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cocciaretto will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Garcia will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cocciaretto: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Garcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cocciaretto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elisabaetta Cocciaretto
WTA Roma
09.05.24	Renata Zarazua - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Magda Linette - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
16.04.24	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.24	Victoria Azarenka - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Caroline Garcia
WTA Madrid
28.04.24	Caroline Garcia - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Caroline Garcia - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
20.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Caroline Garcia	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Caroline Garcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Rouen
16.04.24	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Caroline Garcia	1:2
WTA Warsaw
28.07.22	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Caroline Garcia	0:2
WTA Palermo
21.07.22	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Caroline Garcia	1:2
WTA Roma
11.05.21	Caroline Garcia - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0

Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Caroline Garcia