Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Elise Mertens		Anna Kalinskaya

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.66	Watch
	1.5	2.72
	1.10	7.15	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.49	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)	3.26 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
69.3%

Anna Kalinskaya
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anna Kalinskaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anna Kalinskaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elise Mertens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 31.

In recent matches, Mertens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalinskaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalinskaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Elise Mertens - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Elise Mertens - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Ann Li - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
WTA Washington
27.07.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Magda Linette - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
12.05.23	Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2
WTA Guadalajara 2
19.10.22	Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2

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