Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Centre Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.24	4
	1.2	4.4	Watch
	1.23	4.67
			Watch
	1.25	4
	1.24	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.18)	4.37 ↓ (4.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
78.1%

Elise Mertens
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Sabalenka (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aryna Sabalenka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Mertens is ranked WTA: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5.

Sabalenka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mertens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Carson Branstine	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
21.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Elise Mertens
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.25	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Elise Mertens - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Elise Mertens - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
16.06.25	Dayana Yastremska - Elise Mertens	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Stuttgart
19.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA US Open
01.09.24	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Australian Open
20.01.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA US Open
05.09.21	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Madrid
05.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	Mertens E. retired
WTA Linz
15.11.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0

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