Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Elise Mertens		Clara Tauson

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.77	2.07	Watch
	1.78	2.12
	1.73	2.09	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.77	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
54.5%

Clara Tauson
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Clara Tauson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Elise Mertens - Clara Tauson Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Tauson will win (votes: 17 - 68%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tauson: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 31. Tauson is ranked WTA: 34.

Mertens in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tauson is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tauson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Clara Tauson - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50.19%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Singapore
02.02.25	Ann Li - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Xin Yu Wang - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Tatjana Maria - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Taylor Townsend - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Clara Tauson
WTA Linz
01.02.25	Dayana Yastremska - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Clara Tauson - Anna Blinkova	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Clara Tauson - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Clara Tauson - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
16.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

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