Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: HOBART (AUSTRALIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2024, Thursday


	Elise Mertens		Daria Saville

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.66
	1.33	3.66
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.27	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.51)	3.41 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
71.9%

Daria Saville
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Daria Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daria Saville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daria Saville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Elise Mertens - Daria Saville Predictions

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 4.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

In this match Mertens is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mertens won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Hobart
10.01.24	Elise Mertens - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Elise Mertens - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Elise Mertens - Danielle Collins	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
04.01.24	Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
03.01.24	Elise Mertens - Sloane Stephens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Daria Saville
WTA Hobart
11.01.24	Lin Zhu - Daria Saville	1:2 ✺
10.01.24	Daria Saville - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
08.01.24	Anna Blinkova - Daria Saville	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
02.01.24	Daria Saville - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
01.01.24	Daria Saville - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hong Kong
11.10.23	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
14.03.22	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.18	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Australian Open
17.01.18	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Hopman Cup
03.01.18	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.17	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	2:1
WTA Rabat
03.05.17	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	2:0

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