Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday


	Elise Mertens		Sloane Stephens

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.7
	2.26	1.7
	2.3	1.62
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.28	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.33)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
42.5%

Sloane Stephens
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Elise Mertens - Sloane Stephens Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Stephens will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Mertens is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stephens is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stephens will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Stephens to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.24	Iga Swiatek - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Tatjana Maria - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
05.04.24	Elise Mertens - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW
- Sloane Stephens
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Martina Trevisan	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
21.04.24	Magda Linette - Sloane Stephens	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
03.01.24	Elise Mertens - Sloane Stephens	2:1
WTA San Diego
12.09.23	Sloane Stephens - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA US Open
02.09.18	Sloane Stephens - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.18	Elise Mertens - Sloane Stephens	2:0

Upcoming Matches