Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Elise Mertens		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
			Watch
	2.29	1.69
			Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.25	1.66	Watch
	1.95	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.91)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
43.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elise Mertens's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Alexandrova (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Mertens (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mertens (votes: 4 - 50%). Alexandrova (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 25. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.

In recent matches, Mertens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alexandrova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Alexandrova will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Elise Mertens - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Yue Yuan - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Maria Sakkari - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.25	Lois Boisson - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Anna Blinkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
12.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Olympic Games
24.07.21	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Linz
14.11.20	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.19	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0

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