Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open (France), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elise Mertens		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.49	2.78
	1.49	2.78
	1.4	2.9
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.43	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	2.78 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
65.7%

Maria Lourdes Carle
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elise Mertens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Elise Mertens - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Carle will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mertens will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Roma
12.05.24	Elise Mertens - Irina-Camelia Begu	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Elise Mertens - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Elise Mertens - Sloane Stephens	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.24	Iga Swiatek - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Tatjana Maria - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Rabat
22.05.24	Mayar Sherif - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
21.05.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Jule Niemeier	1:2 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Laura Siegemund	1:2 ✺
07.05.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Taylah Preston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Grabher	✺

Elise Mertens - Maria Lourdes Carle