Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Istanbul 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elizara Yaneva		Ayla Aksu

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.01
	1.74	2.13
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.5)	2.05 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elizara Yaneva
54.6%

Ayla Aksu
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elizara Yaneva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elizara Yaneva's form might have worsened.

Ayla Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayla Aksu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elizara Yaneva than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elizara Yaneva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayla Aksu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Elizara Yaneva - Ayla Aksu Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yaneva will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Aksu will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aksu: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aksu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yaneva is ranked WTA: 233. Aksu is ranked WTA: 269.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aksu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Yaneva could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yaneva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ayla Aksu - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elizara Yaneva
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Elizara Yaneva - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Elizara Yaneva - Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Elizara Yaneva - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Elizara Yaneva - Jeline Vandromme	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Xinyu Gao - Elizara Yaneva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- Ayla Aksu
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Sofia Costoulas - Ayla Aksu	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ayla Aksu - Ksenia Zaytseva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Ayla Aksu - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.02.26	Elizara Yaneva - Ayla Aksu	0:2

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